PEPFAR Program Impact Tracker
This tracker has been frozen
The figures below represent the estimated 1-year human impact of the PEPFAR funding freeze (Jan 24, 2025 – Jan 24, 2026). To read more, see the Impact Counter.
On January 24th, 2025, a 90-day suspension of foreign aid was ordered, affecting the PEPFAR Program which supports 20 million people living with HIV across 55 countries. The suspension impacts 222,000 people receiving daily HIV medication, 224,000 HIV tests performed daily, and essential services for vulnerable populations. The suspension affects 190,000 healthcare workers involved in global HIV response efforts. This page estimates impact in child and adult deaths caused by this suspension of the PEPFAR Program over its first year.
While a waiver had been issued to resume critical services, the funding to the majority of USAID-supported PEPFAR programmes were stopped on 26 February 2025 - likely meaning permanent discontinuation of the funding for those services. What was a 90-day freeze is now likely to be permanent without a rapid change in policy. Here is a link to the clarification of the waiver.
1-Year Impact of Partial PEPFAR Funding Freeze and Discontinuation: Estimated Deaths
The figures below represent the estimated number of deaths over one year (January 24, 2025 to January 24, 2026) as a result of the partial funding discontinuation. This methodology has been adjusted since the site's initial creation to provide an immediate impact assessment, rather than a long term assessment.
Estimated deaths associated with the funding freeze and discontinuation
between January 24th, 2025 and January 24th, 2026 (1 year)
159,272
1-year estimate (frozen)
16,954
1-year estimate (frozen)
These estimates use average rates to approximate impact. In reality, these effects may vary over time, potentially starting smaller and accelerating as the situation progresses.
About the PEPFAR Program
The President's Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief (PEPFAR) is the U.S. government's initiative to help save the lives of those suffering from HIV/AIDS around the world. This historic commitment is the largest by any nation to combat a single disease internationally.
Discover how PEPFAR has been saving lives and changing the course of the HIV/AIDS epidemic since its inception in 2003.